6月2日IKON外汇黄金分析

02 六月 2010 Categories: 每日外汇策略

一、基本面形势
澳央行昨天宣布利率维持在4.5%不变,符合市场预期。加拿大央行如预期加息25点至0.50%,由此成为金融危机以来G7中首个加息的央行。加央行在会后声明中语调温和,表示欧洲债务危机令经济持续复苏的信心遭受打击,加元在今年三季度内再次升息的机会渺茫。声明限制了加息对加元的利好作用,不过却帮助市场整体提高了风险偏好情绪。
昨天公布的欧元区4月失业率升至10.1%,创下近12年来新高,欧元兑美元继续刷新近4年来的新低。稍晚公布的美国5月ISM制造业指数以及4月营建支出数据好于预期,配合加拿大加息的利好,促使风险资产走高。近期市场受多方因素影响,整体振荡频率加大,请交易者注意风险。

二、今日数据
\

三、红绿灯
\

四、技术分析
\
欧元兑美元:从技术分析看,天图仍然受制与兰色趋势线压制,但亦有上涨回试可能,目标位置1.2310附近,建议看多。
\
英镑兑美元:从技术分析来看,天图突破阻力位置1.4610,有继续上攻倾向,可看多。

\
美元兑日圆:从技术分析看,4小时图中满足杠杆叠加原理,上涨目标91.88,可短多。
\
美元兑瑞郎:从技术分析看,4小时图继续在趋势线右侧进行高位震荡整理,形式复杂,可观望。

\
黄金:技术分析上看,4小时图突破阻力1221后,上涨动力减弱,有回探下试需求,可考虑多头获利了结。

PHVsPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19hZHNfcm90YXRlPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gZmFsc2U8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19hZF9pbWFnZV8xPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gaHR0cDovL3d3dy5lcmdvdS5uZXQvYXkvaW1nLzA5MDgtMy5naWY8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19hZF9pbWFnZV8yPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gaHR0cDovL3d3dy5lcmdvdS5uZXQvYXkvaW1nLzA5MDgtMy5naWY8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19hZF9pbWFnZV8zPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gaHR0cDovL3d3dy5lcmdvdS5uZXQvYXkvaW1nLzA5MDgtMy5naWY8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19hZF9pbWFnZV80PC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gaHR0cDovL3d3dy5lcmdvdS5uZXQvYXkvaW1nLzA5MDgtMy5naWY8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19hZF91cmxfMTwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIGh0dHA6Ly93d3cucHB3YS5uZXQ8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19hZF91cmxfMjwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIGh0dHA6Ly93d3cucHB3YS5uZXQ8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19hZF91cmxfMzwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIGh0dHA6Ly93d3cucHB3YS5uZXQ8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19hZF91cmxfNDwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIGh0dHA6Ly93d3cucHB3YS5uZXQ8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19hbHRfc3R5bGVzaGVldDwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIHJlZF95ZWxsb3cuY3NzPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fYXV0b19pbWc8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSB0cnVlPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fYmxvZ19jYXRfaWQ8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSA8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19ibG9nX25hdmlnYXRpb248L3N0cm9uZz4gLSB0cnVlPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fYmxvZ19wZXJtYWxpbms8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSAvaHRtbC95Y2F0ZWdvcnkva2FpaHViaWR1PC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fYnJlYWRjcnVtYnM8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSBmYWxzZTwvbGk+PGxpPjxzdHJvbmc+d29vX2N1c3RvbV9jc3M8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSA8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19jdXN0b21fZmF2aWNvbjwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIGh0dHA6Ly93d3cua2FpaHUubWUvd3AtY29udGVudC93b29fdXBsb2Fkcy8zLWthaWh1bWUuaWNvPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fZXhjbHVkZV9wYWdlc19tYWluPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gMzEsMjI2LDIzNSwyNDAsMjUxLDI5NiwyOTQsMzIxLDU3Niw1NzgsNTc5LDYxMSwyNTYsMzIzLDYxMiw2MjUsNjI5LDYzMSw3MzQsMTcyLDE3MywxNzUsMTgwLDI1OCwxNjksMjI0LDIyMywyMTUsMjI1LDIyMiwxNDUwPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fZmVhdF9wYWdlPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gMzE8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19mZWF0X3BhZ2VzPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gNjEyLDYzMSw3MzQsNjI1LDM1MCwzNTI8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19mZWVkYnVybmVyX3VybDwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIDwvbGk+PGxpPjxzdHJvbmc+d29vX2Zvb3Rlcl9sZWZ0PC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fZm9vdGVyX3JpZ2h0PC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fZ29vZ2xlX2FuYWx5dGljczwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIDxzY3JpcHQgdHlwZT1cInRleHQvamF2YXNjcmlwdFwiPg0KdmFyIGdhSnNIb3N0ID0gKChcImh0dHBzOlwiID09IGRvY3VtZW50LmxvY2F0aW9uLnByb3RvY29sKSA/IFwiaHR0cHM6Ly9zc2wuXCIgOiBcImh0dHA6Ly93d3cuXCIpOw0KZG9jdW1lbnQud3JpdGUodW5lc2NhcGUoXCIlM0NzY3JpcHQgc3JjPVwnXCIgKyBnYUpzSG9zdCArIFwiZ29vZ2xlLWFuYWx5dGljcy5jb20vZ2EuanNcJyB0eXBlPVwndGV4dC9qYXZhc2NyaXB0XCclM0UlM0Mvc2NyaXB0JTNFXCIpKTsNCjwvc2NyaXB0Pg0KPHNjcmlwdCB0eXBlPVwidGV4dC9qYXZhc2NyaXB0XCI+DQp0cnkgew0KdmFyIHBhZ2VUcmFja2VyID0gX2dhdC5fZ2V0VHJhY2tlcihcIlVBLTEyMDcxNTY4LTJcIik7DQpwYWdlVHJhY2tlci5fdHJhY2tQYWdldmlldygpOw0KfSBjYXRjaChlcnIpIHt9PC9zY3JpcHQ+PC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29faGlnaGxpZ2h0X3RleHQ8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSDlvIDpgJrmqKHmi5/luJDmiLc8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19oaWdobGlnaHRfdXJsPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gaHR0cDovL3d3dy5rYWlodS5tZS9rYWlodTwvbGk+PGxpPjxzdHJvbmc+d29vX2hvbWVwYWdlX2ltYWdlX2xpbms8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSBmYWxzZTwvbGk+PGxpPjxzdHJvbmc+d29vX2luY19mZWF0X3BhZ2U8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSB0cnVlPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29faW5jX2ZlYXRfcGFnZXM8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSBmYWxzZTwvbGk+PGxpPjxzdHJvbmc+d29vX2luY19mb290ZXJfbGVmdDwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIGZhbHNlPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29faW5jX2Zvb3Rlcl9yaWdodDwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIGZhbHNlPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fbG9nbzwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIGh0dHA6Ly93d3cua2FpaHUubWUvd3AtY29udGVudC93b29fdXBsb2Fkcy83LWxvZ28ucG5nPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fbWFudWFsPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gaHR0cDovL3d3dy53b290aGVtZXMuY29tL3N1cHBvcnQvdGhlbWUtZG9jdW1lbnRhdGlvbi9wcm9kdWN0dW0vPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fbWluaWZlYXRfaGVpZ2h0PC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gMTQzPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fbWluaWZlYXRfd2lkdGg8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSAyODQ8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb19yZXNpemU8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSB0cnVlPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fc2hvcnRuYW1lPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gd29vPC9saT48bGk+PHN0cm9uZz53b29fdGhlbWVuYW1lPC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gRmVhdHVyZSBQaXRjaDwvbGk+PGxpPjxzdHJvbmc+d29vX3RoZV9jb250ZW50PC9zdHJvbmc+IC0gZmFsc2U8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb190aHVtYl9oZWlnaHQ8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSAxMDA8L2xpPjxsaT48c3Ryb25nPndvb190aHVtYl93aWR0aDwvc3Ryb25nPiAtIDEwMDwvbGk+PGxpPjxzdHJvbmc+d29vX3VwbG9hZHM8L3N0cm9uZz4gLSBhOjU6e2k6MDtzOjUzOiJodHRwOi8vd3d3LmthaWh1Lm1lL3dwLWNvbnRlbnQvd29vX3VwbG9hZHMvNy1sb2dvLnBuZyI7aToxO3M6NTM6Imh0dHA6Ly93d3cua2FpaHUubWUvd3AtY29udGVudC93b29fdXBsb2Fkcy82LWxvZ28ucG5nIjtpOjI7czo1MzoiaHR0cDovL3d3dy5rYWlodS5tZS93cC1jb250ZW50L3dvb191cGxvYWRzLzUtbG9nby5wbmciO2k6MztzOjUzOiJodHRwOi8vd3d3LmthaWh1Lm1lL3dwLWNvbnRlbnQvd29vX3VwbG9hZHMvNC1sb2dvLnBuZyI7aTo0O3M6NTY6Imh0dHA6Ly93d3cua2FpaHUubWUvd3AtY29udGVudC93b29fdXBsb2Fkcy8zLWthaWh1bWUuaWNvIjt9PC9saT48L3VsPg==