爱康综合外汇市场研究:就业形势严峻,美元难以抬头

09 八月 2010 Categories: 每日外汇策略

一、基本面形势

周五公布的加拿大7月就业人数变动预期增加1.25万,结果为减少0.93万,同时失业率上升0.1%。随后公布的美国7月非农就业人数大幅减少13.1万人,远差于预期的-6.5万。虽然非农就业中减少的人数主要来自大量政府部门雇用的临时工结束工作,但是市场并没有因为其他行业就业的增加而乐观的理解美国的就业情况,美元的整体走势进一步下滑,唯独加元受就业数据拖累显示出弱于美元的情况。

实际上英国和德国周五公布的工业生产数据并不理想,但是由于市场更关注晚间的非农数据,导致较差的欧洲数据几乎被忽略,欧元和英镑还是在高位维持了强势。本周一没有重要的经济数据或事件公布,市场预计会继续消化上周五的行情,处于稳定的整理之中。

二、今日数据
 


 三、红绿灯
 

 

四、技术分析

  

欧元兑美元:从技术分析看,4小时图重新站在趋势线上,有横盘调整可能。

 
英镑兑美元:从技术分析来看,4小时图触及反压线,谨防回调下行。


 
 
美元兑日圆:从技术分析看,4小时图跌破反压线,有继续下行倾向。
 
 
美元兑瑞郎:从技术分析看,4小时图形成杠杆叠加原理,目标位置1.0290附近。


 
 
黄金:技术分析上看,4小时图处于趋势线夹角之内,有回调下行倾向,注意空头风险。

 

分析师:Richard & zhangge

 

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